What Do Points Make?

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In this final piece based on last season’s performance, rather than looking at dividends earned, I’m going to look at the scores needed to be in with a chance of those dividends as well as two index favourite indicators, “Average scores” and “peak scores”

First up, the averages. We’re just going to focus on big prizes so to start off it’s worth pointing out that the average winning scores for Defenders, Midfielders and Forwards on treble days were 191, 225 and 212 respectively.

Beginning at the back, Dani Alves was the one who led the way with the most scores above the 191 average with nine. Unsurprisingly, Alves was also the highest dividend earner with £0.55. Closely followed by Nicolas Otemendi with eight above average scores and £0.52 in dividends, he also had the highest average score with 145 thanks to city’s incredible form and passing nature. Whether these two can continue the form next season is debatable topic due to Alves’ injury and Otemendi’s place in the team remaining far from certain.

Of the rest of the Defenders, nine other players managed to hit over three scores over the 191 threshold. One potentially worth highlighting is Bayern’s David Alaba, who picked up three scores above average but failed to earn any dividends which potentially gives the impression of a bit of bad luck.

There were also some players who quite surprisingly didn’t manage more than two peak scores of over 191 in the season. Including John Stones, Kalidou Koulibaly and Joshua Kimmich despite picking up average scores of 134, 131 and 123 paired with some impressive dividend returns.

Moving into midfield, Daniel Parejo impressively managed five scores above 225, although he was aided by four game-winning goals (three of which were from the penalty spot), £0.80 in dividends and an average score of 149 topples any other midfielder by some distance. Interestingly, the midfielder with the second highest average is Kevin De Bruyne with 142, yet he only managed one score above the 225 average treble winning score. Still, a £0.40 yield shows that peak scores aren’t everything. Similarly the highest dividend yielding midfielder James Rodriguez also only managed only one score over 225, mainly due to the number of times he never made it past the 70 minute mark, but his average of 130 was still enough to secure a £0.79 return. He, like KDB, is especially successful on reduced player pool days, meaning a good Champions League campaign could see an even more successful campaign this time around. A contrasting player to that is Milinkovic-Savic who only averages 86 points per game, but managed three scores above 225, helping him to a £0.30 yield, making next season an interesting prospect for him with some big games needed again in order to yield well since his averages don’t come close to a dividend spot.

In the forward category, Messi unsurprisingly leads the way in terms of peak scores, with an impressive ten scores over the 212 mark. However, Neymar did manage six without playing in the last three months of the season and had the highest average score of any player on the index with 166 as well as smashing the largest forward score in one game with 357 back in January. This time around, it’ll be interesting to see how much he can earn over the course of a full season. Juventus will offer up an interesting battle this season with Ronaldo and Dybala both fighting for dividends after very similar seasons last year. Although Ronaldo earned £0.27 more than Dybala, he did have a lot of reduced player pool games in the Champions League and Dybala spent a lot more time than expected on the bench meaning putting them both in the same team this year will introduce a new interesting set of variables.

Looking ahead to the new season, there’s a lot of players in new situations that could see their statistics improve. No one more than Gareth Bale, who, despite having played just over 2000 minutes last season scored 19 goals and earned £0.30 in dividends. Without Ronaldo, the Welshmen should have a great opportunity to get at least double the game time this year, assuming he can avoid injury. Isco is another player that will be looking to grab more minutes next year under the new manager after being the centre of Spain’s world cup set up and actually earning more dividends in those three weeks than he did all last season for Real Madrid. Coutinho will also have his first full season at Barcelona this year and although he didn’t manage to win anything in the second half of the season with the Catalan giants, his performances did improve, along with his goal scoring rate which he’ll be hoping to carry into the new term. Finally, Eden Hazard has to be worth mentioning, although his situation seems unchanged in the real world, a switch to being a forward on football index could see his dividend chances increase to some extent, as well as the chance to be playing in the somewhat easier Europa League meaning last season’s £0.30 dividend tally could become an easy hurdle to try and outperform this time around.

Written by @FootballIndexLM.

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About Author

Liam Mcdonnell has been trading on the platform since late 2015 and has witnessed the whole evolution of the Index. His finance background means he commonly uses data to produce articles and graphs to portray trends relating to prices and dividends. Liam relies on prior knowledge to identify opportunities for undervalued players in his articles.

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