Following Liverpool’s stunning 3-1 victory away at the Allianz Arena last night, for the first time in ten years, the quarter final line up of Europe’s premier competition, the Champions League, will have not one, not two, not three, but four representatives from the Premier League. This is a serious statement of intent from the English league but what may be driving the great European nights and most importantly what impact may it have for traders?
It’s often cited that European Football is cyclical in nature and could it be that we are now on the edge of a cycle of Premier League dominance? We’ve seen similar cycles for La Liga in the last ten years (Real Madrid and Barcelona in the Champions League, Sevilla in the Europa League), the Bundesliga (Bayern Munich’s squad from 2012/13) and the Premier League itself between 2005-2012 (Liverpool, Manchester United and Chelsea all lifting the trophy) but could the routes of 2019’s success been laid a few seasons ago?
As always with football, it comes down to money. The Premier League is viewed enviously by its European neighbours for its humongous television rights deal with the last two packages blowing the competition away with the sheer size of them. Yet more decisively appears to be the way that European football television money is divided. A few years ago when BT Sport came on to the scene they made European football their crown jewel and paid handsomely for the riches. This means that Premier League sides reap significantly higher riches for progressing than other European leagues from their own respective deals. For example Leicester City earned more in their cup run a few years ago than winners Real Madrid! This has been curbed some what by new regulations this season but the economic impact is sure to have had an affect!
In the world of the Football Index, a cycle of Premier League dominance could be massive news for traders. The quarter final stages of European competitions are of course all Treble Match Day Dividend events with a massively reduced pool of competition. Throw in the increased likelihood of an all Premier League quarter final and the media will be incredibly intrigued! who are some of the main players traders should be keeping an eye on?
Last nights hero for Liverpool was Sadio Mane (£5.60) with two goals, making it four goals in his last two appearances. This saw the Senegalese attacker rise by £0.36 alone yesterday. Manchester United’s hero was of course young striker Marcus Rashford (£12.89) who showed nerves of steel to blast home the last minute penalty versus PSG. For Spurs it is of course, England captain Harry Kane (£11.55) who is trading up by £1.43 a share in the last month alone! Finally we have Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City with the attacking front three of Raheem Sterling (£8.93) , who is up by £0.66 a share in the last seven days, Argentine striker Sergio Aguero (£4.72) is in stunning goal scoring form whilst youngster Leroy Sane (£6.85) certainly showed former club Schalke how far he’s come on in the thrashing on Tuesday!
There are so many options for traders and all eyes will be on the quarter final draw on Friday at 11am for both the quarter and semi finals. Fans and the media alike will be able to plot teams potential route to the final at the Wanda Metropolitano in Madrid.